Juve Stabia vs Salernitana Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Juve Stabia v Salernitana — Team-Based Signals
Juve Stabia vs Salernitana Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Juve Stabia
İTB
2-0
HT 1-0
Salernitana
İTB
1-0
HT 1-0
Salernitana
İTC
3-2
HT 0-1
Juve Stabia
İTC
Juve Stabia 1-0 Salernitana — Actual Match Statistics
Juve Stabia squeezed past Salernitana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Juve Stabia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Juve Stabia had 58% of the ball to Salernitana's 42%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.20 to 0.53.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Juve Stabia had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Juve Stabia and 1.20 for Salernitana.
What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Salernitana?
Juve Stabia 1-0 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie B on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Juve Stabia vs Salernitana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Juve Stabia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 44%, draw 29%, Salernitana 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juve Stabia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.