Bochum 0-4 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
7.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.48
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
8%
11.8
X/1
12%
6.06
X/2
14%
6.45
X/X
9%
5.3
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.65
2/2
17%
3.83
2/X
8%
11.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.65 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.0pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +16%
1.69/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.46
-11% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 71%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
23.8 Crosses 16.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Stuttgart
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.41 xG 1.98
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
288 Passes 375
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-0 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
20.01.2024 Bochum Bochum 1-0 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
19.08.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 5-0 HT 2-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
09.04.2023 Bochum Bochum 2-3 HT 0-1 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
15.10.2022 Stuttgart Stuttgart 4-1 HT 2-1 Bochum Bochum AL1
19.02.2022 Stuttgart Stuttgart 1-1 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
0-4
AWAY Stuttgart
0.80 xG 2.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
401 Passes 330
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart ran out comfortable winners over Bochum 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Stuttgart made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Bochum had 54% of the ball to Stuttgart's 46%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.80 to 2.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bochum and 2.50 for Stuttgart.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Stuttgart?

Bochum 0-4 Stuttgart in the Germany - Bundesliga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bochum win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bochum 38%, draw 25%, Stuttgart 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bochum), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bochum) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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