Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heidenheim v Bayer Leverkusen — Team-Based Signals
Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-0
Heidenheim
AL1
2-1
HT 0-1
Bayer Leverkusen
AFK
Heidenheim 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen edged past Heidenheim 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Heidenheim had 49% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 51%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.96 to 0.35 — on chances, Heidenheim could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Heidenheim and 3.00 for Bayer Leverkusen.
What was the final score of Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Heidenheim 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heidenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Heidenheim 20%, draw 25%, Bayer Leverkusen 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.