Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Freiburg v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals
Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 2-1
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
5-1
HT 1-1
Freiburg
AL1
1-3
HT 1-0
Borussia Dortmund
AL1
5-1
HT 3-0
Freiburg
AL1
Freiburg 1-4 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics
Borussia Dortmund swept aside Freiburg 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Borussia Dortmund made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Freiburg had 54% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 46%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.79 to 3.35.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Freiburg and 4.00 for Borussia Dortmund.
What was the final score of Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund?
Freiburg 1-4 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - Bundesliga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund?
Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Freiburg 36%, draw 25%, Borussia Dortmund 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.