1860 München 5-1 Energie Cottbus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 29% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.53
1/2
10%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
16%
5.65
X/2
7%
6.11
X/X
14%
4.95
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
15%
3.98
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.6pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.65/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.01
+8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
294 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.3 Crosses 20.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Energie Cottbus
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.81 xG 0.69
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 Passes 264
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 5-1 HT 4-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
23.02.2019 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-2 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
31.08.2018 1860 München 1860 München 2-0 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
26.03.2014 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-2 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL2
06.10.2013 1860 München 1860 München 0-0 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
07.04.2013 1860 München 1860 München 1-1 HT 0-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
5-1
AWAY Energie Cottbus
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
260 Passes 405
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Energie Cottbus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München swept aside Energie Cottbus 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had 1860 München as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, 1860 München had 41% of the ball to Energie Cottbus's 59%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, 1860 München had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for 1860 München and 1.33 for Energie Cottbus.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Energie Cottbus?

1860 München 5-1 Energie Cottbus in the Germany - 3rd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Energie Cottbus?

Before kick-off our model rated a 1860 München win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 41%, draw 26%, Energie Cottbus 33%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (1860 München) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (1860 München) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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