Alemannia Aachen 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
4.35
6+ Goals
11%
21.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 31% vs market 30.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.14
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
10%
13.8
X/1
9%
5.75
X/2
12%
5.43
X/X
14%
4.24
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
13%
3.8
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
0.80/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.08
-43% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.4 Crosses 22.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alemannia Aachen
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
223 Passes 388
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Crosses 31
0 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 1-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL3
01.12.2012 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-1 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
20.07.2012 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 1-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL3
15.05.2011 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-1 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
17.12.2010 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 HT 0-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
12.03.2010 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-1 HT 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alemannia Aachen
0-1
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
43% Ball Possession 57%
19 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 8
149 Passes 248
59% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Alemannia Aachen vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld squeezed past Alemannia Aachen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Arminia Bielefeld made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Alemannia Aachen had 43% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 57%, shots finished 19-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alemannia Aachen had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alemannia Aachen and 1.00 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Alemannia Aachen vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Alemannia Aachen 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alemannia Aachen vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alemannia Aachen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alemannia Aachen 36%, draw 31%, Arminia Bielefeld 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
5 Apr 2025
15:00 Wehen Wiesbaden vs Waldhof Mannheim Analysis →
15:00 1860 München vs Energie Cottbus Analysis →
15:00 Erzgebirge Aue vs Stuttgart II Analysis →
15:00 Viktoria Köln vs Unterhaching Analysis →
15:00 Saarbrücken vs Osnabrück Analysis →