Saarbrücken 1-1 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 29% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.12
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
16%
5.11
X/2
12%
6.68
X/X
11%
4.8
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
14%
4.71
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
2.34/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.98
+1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.9 Crosses 19.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Osnabrück
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
206 Passes 376
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Crosses 36
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-1 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
04.03.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-2 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
27.08.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-2 HT 1-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
15.01.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-1 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
31.07.2021 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-2 HT 1-2 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
08.02.2014 Osnabrück Osnabrück 4-1 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
1-1
AWAY Osnabrück
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
325 Passes 338
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken and Osnabrück shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Saarbrücken at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 49% of the ball to Osnabrück's 51%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Saarbrücken and 2.17 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Osnabrück?

Saarbrücken 1-1 Osnabrück in the Germany - 3rd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 43%, draw 26%, Osnabrück 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Saarbrücken), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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