Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 Stuttgart II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.36
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.16
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
12%
5.14
X/2
11%
6.68
X/X
14%
4.66
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
13%
4.74
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzgebirge Aue EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -23%
1.43/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.21
-7% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.2 Crosses 11.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Stuttgart II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 Passes 495
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 4
27.10.2024 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 0-1 HT 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
30.01.2016 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 HT 0-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
22.08.2015 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 1-2 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
2-1
AWAY Stuttgart II
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
261 Passes 347
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Erzgebirge Aue vs Stuttgart II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzgebirge Aue squeezed past Stuttgart II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Erzgebirge Aue as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Erzgebirge Aue had 45% of the ball to Stuttgart II's 55%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Erzgebirge Aue had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 0.33 for Stuttgart II.

What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue vs Stuttgart II?

Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 Stuttgart II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzgebirge Aue vs Stuttgart II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzgebirge Aue win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 41%, draw 27%, Stuttgart II 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue)
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