Viktoria Köln 3-1 Unterhaching — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 27% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.31
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
12%
4.43
X/2
6%
9.02
X/X
12%
5.41
2/1
6%
22.45
2/2
13%
6.88
2/X
8%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.68/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.39
-2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
413 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
11.6 Crosses 18.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Köln
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Unterhaching
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 Passes 261
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
27.01.2024 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-1 HT 2-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
26.08.2023 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
05.04.2021 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-1 HT 0-1 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
22.11.2020 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-2 HT 1-2 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
15.02.2020 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Köln
3-1
AWAY Unterhaching
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
400 Passes 252
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viktoria Köln vs Unterhaching
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Köln beat Unterhaching 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Viktoria Köln as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Viktoria Köln had 58% of the ball to Unterhaching's 42%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Viktoria Köln and 1.33 for Unterhaching.

What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Unterhaching?

Viktoria Köln 3-1 Unterhaching in the Germany - 3rd Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Unterhaching?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 45%, draw 27%, Unterhaching 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Köln), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Köln) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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