Astoria Walldorf 3-1 FC Giessen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No OUR CALL
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Astoria Walldorf EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Giessen EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.66/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.50
-7% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Astoria Walldorf
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Giessen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
05.10.2024 FC Giessen FC Giessen 1-2 HT 0-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
27.11.2021 FC Giessen FC Giessen 1-1 HT 0-1 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
14.08.2021 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Giessen FC Giessen ALMBÖL
06.03.2021 FC Giessen FC Giessen 3-0 HT 0-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
14.10.2020 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Giessen FC Giessen ALMBÖL
07.09.2019 FC Giessen FC Giessen 0-0 HT 0-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Astoria Walldorf vs FC Giessen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Astoria Walldorf beat FC Giessen 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Astoria Walldorf as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Giessen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Astoria Walldorf and 1.33 for FC Giessen.

What was the final score of Astoria Walldorf vs FC Giessen?

Astoria Walldorf 3-1 FC Giessen in the Germany - Regional League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Astoria Walldorf vs FC Giessen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Astoria Walldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Astoria Walldorf 46%, draw 26%, FC Giessen 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Astoria Walldorf) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Astoria Walldorf) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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