Greuther Fürth II 3-1 Wacker Burghausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.0pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.1pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.2pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Wacker Burghausen EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.38/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.28
-17% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wacker Burghausen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.09.2024 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 2-4 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
09.03.2024 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 0-1 HT 0-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
19.09.2023 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 1-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
15.04.2023 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 0-3 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II ALMBÖL
24.09.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 2-2 HT 0-2 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
22.03.2022 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 1-1 HT 1-1 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth II vs Wacker Burghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth II got the better of Wacker Burghausen 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Greuther Fürth II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Greuther Fürth II and 1.17 for Wacker Burghausen.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth II vs Wacker Burghausen?

Greuther Fürth II 3-1 Wacker Burghausen in the Germany - Regional League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth II vs Wacker Burghausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth II 39%, draw 31%, Wacker Burghausen 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greuther Fürth II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Greuther Fürth II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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