Schweinfurt 1-2 Ansbach 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5 OUR CALL
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.1pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.6pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schweinfurt EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansbach 09 EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
2.31/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.32
+10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
420 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 7.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schweinfurt
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Ansbach 09
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
28.09.2024 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 0-2 HT 0-0 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
17.10.2023 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 2-0 HT 2-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
29.04.2023 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt 2-1 HT 0-1 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
03.10.2022 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 2-2 HT 1-0 Schweinfurt Schweinfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Schweinfurt vs Ansbach 09
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansbach 09 squeezed past Schweinfurt 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Schweinfurt at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Schweinfurt had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Schweinfurt and 0.75 for Ansbach 09.

What was the final score of Schweinfurt vs Ansbach 09?

Schweinfurt 1-2 Ansbach 09 in the Germany - Regional League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schweinfurt vs Ansbach 09?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schweinfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Schweinfurt 55%, draw 25%, Ansbach 09 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Schweinfurt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Schweinfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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