Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 Rödinghausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rödinghausen EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.99/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.30
+19% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rödinghausen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
12.10.2024 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 2-3 HT 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
09.04.2022 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 HT 0-0 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
30.10.2021 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 3-0 HT 1-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
01.04.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 HT 0-1 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
31.10.2020 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 4-2 HT 1-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
08.02.2020 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rödinghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportfreunde Lotte and Rödinghausen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sportfreunde Lotte at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rödinghausen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportfreunde Lotte and 2.00 for Rödinghausen.

What was the final score of Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rödinghausen?

Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 Rödinghausen in the Germany - Regional League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Rödinghausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sportfreunde Lotte 42%, draw 28%, Rödinghausen 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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