Türkgücü München 1-4 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.4pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.1pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkgücü München EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 56%
-18% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -6%
0.91/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.97
-29% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
224 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkgücü München
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Bayreuth
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.09.2024 Bayreuth Bayreuth 4-0 HT 2-0 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
26.04.2024 Bayreuth Bayreuth 4-0 HT 3-0 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München ALMBÖL
08.10.2023 Türkgücü München Türkgücü München 1-0 HT 0-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Türkgücü München vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayreuth cruised past Türkgücü München 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayreuth as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bayreuth led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Türkgücü München and 2.67 for Bayreuth.

What was the final score of Türkgücü München vs Bayreuth?

Türkgücü München 1-4 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkgücü München vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Türkgücü München 24%, draw 30%, Bayreuth 46%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayreuth), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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