Sebail FK 0-0 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.7pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 42%
+10% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.25/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.62
+14% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
250 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebail FK
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
01.02.2025 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-1 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
09.11.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
30.08.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
30.03.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
26.01.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 3-1 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
03.11.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Sebail FK vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sebail FK and Turan Tovuz played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sebail FK and 1.33 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Sebail FK vs Turan Tovuz?

Sebail FK 0-0 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebail FK vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sebail FK win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Sebail FK 35%, draw 32%, Turan Tovuz 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sebail FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sebail FK) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →