Gagra 0-4 Dinamo Tbilisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gagra EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.17/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.16
+10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gagra
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
01.10.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
01.06.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
16.04.2024 Gagra Gagra 0-2 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
21.10.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 HT 0-1 Gagra Gagra GUR
13.08.2023 Gagra Gagra 1-6 HT 1-4 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gagra
0-4
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi ran out comfortable winners over Gagra 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dinamo Tbilisi as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Gagra had 45% of the ball to Dinamo Tbilisi's 55%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gagra and 1.67 for Dinamo Tbilisi.

What was the final score of Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Gagra 0-4 Dinamo Tbilisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gagra vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gagra 28%, draw 27%, Dinamo Tbilisi 45%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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