Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.41/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.31
-12% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Samgurali
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 2-1 HT 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
26.09.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 1-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
28.05.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 1-3 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
11.04.2024 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 3-1 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
03.11.2023 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 0-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
27.08.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
1-1
AWAY Samgurali
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Kutaisi and Samgurali couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Kutaisi at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 62% of the ball to Samgurali's 38%, shots finished 24-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 0.67 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?

Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 47%, draw 23%, Samgurali 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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