CD Aguilas 3-0 Xerez Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.3pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.9pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Aguilas EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.49/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.39
-7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Aguilas
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2025 Xerez Deportivo 1-1 HT 1-0 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
09.02.2025 Xerez Deportivo 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas İS4
29.09.2024 CD Aguilas CD Aguilas 0-0 HT 0-0 Xerez Deportivo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Aguilas
3-0
AWAY Xerez Deportivo
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Aguilas vs Xerez Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Aguilas swept aside Xerez Deportivo 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Aguilas as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, CD Aguilas had 47% of the ball to Xerez Deportivo's 53%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CD Aguilas had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CD Aguilas and 0.33 for Xerez Deportivo.

What was the final score of CD Aguilas vs Xerez Deportivo?

CD Aguilas 3-0 Xerez Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Aguilas vs Xerez Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Aguilas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CD Aguilas 44%, draw 33%, Xerez Deportivo 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Aguilas), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Aguilas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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