DC United vs FC Dallas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
DC United v FC Dallas — Team-Based Signals
DC United vs FC Dallas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
DC United
ABD
2-0
HT 1-0
DC United
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
FC Dallas
ABD
4-2
HT 2-1
DC United
ABD
0-3
HT 0-2
FC Dallas
ABD
DC United 0-4 FC Dallas — Actual Match Statistics
FC Dallas swept aside DC United 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was DC United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, DC United had 51% of the ball to FC Dallas's 49%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.66 to 2.07.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Dallas led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for DC United and 2.17 for FC Dallas.
What was the final score of DC United vs FC Dallas?
DC United 0-4 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for DC United vs FC Dallas?
Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split DC United 41%, draw 27%, FC Dallas 32%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.