New York City FC vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York City FC v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
New York City FC 1-1 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC and St. Louis City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was New York City FC at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, New York City FC had 58% of the ball to St. Louis City's 42%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.49 to 1.40.
What was the final score of New York City FC vs St. Louis City?
New York City FC 1-1 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York City FC vs St. Louis City?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 52%, draw 25%, St. Louis City 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New York City FC) went the other way.