Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chicago Fire v Nashville SC — Team-Based Signals
Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Nashville SC
ABD
3-0
HT 1-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
Chicago Fire 1-0 Nashville SC — Actual Match Statistics
Chicago Fire edged past Nashville SC 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chicago Fire as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Chicago Fire had 39% of the ball to Nashville SC's 61%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.23 to 0.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nashville SC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chicago Fire and 2.67 for Nashville SC.
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?
Chicago Fire 1-0 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs Nashville SC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 43%, draw 25%, Nashville SC 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chicago Fire) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.