New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York Red Bulls v FC Cincinnati — Team-Based Signals
New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
FC Cincinnati
ABD
3-0
HT 2-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
New York Red Bulls 4-2 FC Cincinnati — Actual Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls got the better of FC Cincinnati 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had New York Red Bulls as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, New York Red Bulls had 52% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 48%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.00 to 2.80 — the balance of chances actually favoured FC Cincinnati.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.33 for FC Cincinnati.
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
New York Red Bulls 4-2 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 50%, draw 22%, FC Cincinnati 28%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York Red Bulls), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.