Charlotte 2-1 Philadelphia Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.38/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.29
-8% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
17.8 Crosses 19.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.24 xG 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
348 Passes 326
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Charlotte Charlotte 2-0 HT 2-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
15.06.2025 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-1 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
28.07.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte CONLK
23.06.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 0-2 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
26.05.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 0-0 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
21.09.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
2-1
AWAY Philadelphia Union
1.81 xG 1.71
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
435 Passes 277
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte edged past Philadelphia Union 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Charlotte as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Charlotte had 58% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 42%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.81 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Charlotte and 0.83 for Philadelphia Union.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?

Charlotte 2-1 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs Philadelphia Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 45%, draw 25%, Philadelphia Union 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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