Kagoshima United 1-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 5 Apr 2026

Kagoshima United
1-1 HT 1-0
Giravanz Kitakyushu
📅05/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
JAP2-3 – 2026

Kagoshima United vs Giravanz Kitakyushu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.62
Over 2.5
53%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.33
No
45%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
4.27
6+ Goals
8%
22.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.27 — our 23% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
14%
Away Win
14%
+0.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
58%
-11.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
42%
+11.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
39%
+16.5pp
45%
BTTS No
61%
-16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kagoshima United v Giravanz Kitakyushu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 17%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.99/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.73
+16% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
29.5 Crosses 14.2
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Kagoshima United vs Giravanz Kitakyushu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
184 Passes 272
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.10.2025 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 0-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
23.03.2025 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
26.08.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
21.05.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-2 HT 1-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JPK
04.05.2023 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 2-0 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
19.09.2022 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-0 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3

Kagoshima United 1-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
1-1
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
42% Ball Possession 58%
20 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 1
172 Passes 297
68% Pass Accuracy 75%
41 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kagoshima United and Giravanz Kitakyushu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kagoshima United at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 42% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 58%, shots finished 20-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kagoshima United had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kagoshima United and 0.67 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Kagoshima United 1-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the JAP2-3 on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 63%, draw 23%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kagoshima United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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