Deportes Tolima 2-2 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.74
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
19%
4.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.78
Over
46%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.94
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Deportes Tolima The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe The Market 24%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.76 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.99
0.79 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.52
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Santa Fe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.88 xG 0.74
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 Passes 237
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2025 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
26.11.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-2 HT 1-2 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
19.07.2025 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-1 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
01.02.2025 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
30.09.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
03.06.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-2 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
2 - 2
AWAY Santa Fe
1.27 xG 1.25
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
407 Passes 198
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Deportes Tolima and Santa Fe couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

File this under upsets: a 55% lean on Deportes Tolima went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 48%.

The match data tells the story: Deportes Tolima had 64% of the ball to Santa Fe's 36%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.27 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.67 for Santa Fe.

Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe Result & Final Score

Deportes Tolima 2 - 2 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 55%, draw 26%, Santa Fe 19%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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