Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportes Tolima 1-0 Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima nicked a narrow win over Santa Fe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 54% of the ball to Santa Fe's 46%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.25 to 1.14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.83 for Santa Fe.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe?
Deportes Tolima 1-0 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 46%, draw 29%, Santa Fe 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.