Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Fe v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Santa Fe 1-2 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima nicked a narrow win over Santa Fe 2-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Deportes Tolima made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Santa Fe had 60% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 40%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.00 to 1.54.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Santa Fe and 0.33 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?
Santa Fe 1-2 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 26/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 40%, draw 31%, Deportes Tolima 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.