Diosgyor 1-2 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 29% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.62/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.35
+2% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
23.9 Crosses 20.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Puskas FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.14 xG 1.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
286 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
30.08.2025 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-1 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
24.05.2025 Puskas FC Puskas FC 4-3 HT 1-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
01.03.2025 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
26.10.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
02.03.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
1-2
AWAY Puskas FC
1.15 xG 0.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
254 Passes 265
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC nicked a narrow win over Diosgyor 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Puskas FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Diosgyor had 50% of the ball to Puskas FC's 50%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.15 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Diosgyor and 1.67 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Puskas FC?

Diosgyor 1-2 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 34%, draw 26%, Puskas FC 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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