Puskas FC 4-3 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
25%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.98
2-3 Goals
39%
2.07
4-5 Goals
23%
2.46
6+ Goals
16%
5.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-15.5pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
11%
+13.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.85/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.96
-5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -7%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 72%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
24.9 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Diosgyor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 0.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
320 Passes 359
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
26.10.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
02.03.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
04.11.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
29.07.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
21.04.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
4-3
AWAY Diosgyor
4.45 xG 1.06
54% Ball Possession 46%
28 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
370 Passes 280
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
52 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC squeezed past Diosgyor 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Puskas FC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Puskas FC had 54% of the ball to Diosgyor's 46%, shots finished 28-12, expected goals 4.45 to 1.06 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Puskas FC's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diosgyor led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Puskas FC and 1.00 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs Diosgyor?

Puskas FC 4-3 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 57%, draw 18%, Diosgyor 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
24 May 2025
16:00 MTK Budapest vs Ujpest Analysis →
18:30 MOL Fehervar vs Debrecen Analysis →
21:00 Györi ETO vs Ferencvaros Analysis →