MTK Budapest 1-3 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.72/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.44
+6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
17.9 Crosses 20.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Ujpest
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.19 xG 1.57
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
335 Passes 414
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Ujpest Ujpest 1-5 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
26.10.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 4-1 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
21.04.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
02.02.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 3-0 HT 2-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
23.09.2023 Ujpest Ujpest 0-2 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
03.04.2022 Ujpest Ujpest 2-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
1-3
AWAY Ujpest
1.05 xG 1.36
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
368 Passes 468
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
29 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Ujpest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ujpest saw off MTK Budapest 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was MTK Budapest at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 45% of the ball to Ujpest's 55%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.05 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for MTK Budapest and 0.83 for Ujpest.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Ujpest?

MTK Budapest 1-3 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Ujpest?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 48%, draw 27%, Ujpest 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MTK Budapest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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