Rotor Volgograd 3-1 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
2.4
No
41%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
38%
+21.1pp
41%
BTTS No
62%
-21.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rotor Volgograd EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.43/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.04
+2% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rotor Volgograd
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Neftekhimik
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2025 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-0 HT 0-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
24.11.2024 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-0 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
04.08.2024 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-0 HT 1-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
26.03.2022 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 2-1 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
15.09.2021 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-3 HT 1-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
09.03.2020 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-1 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rotor Volgograd
3-1
AWAY Neftekhimik
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rotor Volgograd vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rotor Volgograd saw off Neftekhimik 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rotor Volgograd as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Rotor Volgograd had 57% of the ball to Neftekhimik's 43%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rotor Volgograd had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rotor Volgograd and 0.67 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of Rotor Volgograd vs Neftekhimik?

Rotor Volgograd 3-1 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rotor Volgograd vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rotor Volgograd win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rotor Volgograd 46%, draw 28%, Neftekhimik 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rotor Volgograd), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rotor Volgograd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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