Arsenal Tula vs Fakel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal Tula v Fakel — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal Tula vs Fakel Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Arsenal Tula
RUK
Arsenal Tula 1-2 Fakel — Actual Match Statistics
Fakel nicked a narrow win over Arsenal Tula 2-1 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fakel as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Arsenal Tula had 52% of the ball to Fakel's 48%, shots finished 5-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arsenal Tula and 1.33 for Fakel.
What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Fakel?
Arsenal Tula 1-2 Fakel in the Russia - FNL on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Fakel?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 33%, draw 26%, Fakel 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fakel) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.