Ural 5-0 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 5 Apr 2026

Ural
5-0 HT 2-0
Chayka
📅05/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
69%
-3.9pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.7pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +6%
1.93/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.89
+6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ural
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Chayka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.10.2025 Chayka Chayka 0-1 HT 0-1 Ural Ural RUS1
01.12.2024 Chayka Chayka 1-1 HT 0-1 Ural Ural RUS1
18.08.2024 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 1-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
5-0
AWAY Chayka
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ural vs Chayka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural swept aside Chayka 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ural as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ural had 54% of the ball to Chayka's 46%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ural had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ural and 0.33 for Chayka.

What was the final score of Ural vs Chayka?

Ural 5-0 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Ural 65%, draw 22%, Chayka 13%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✗ BTTS Yes
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