Sokol Saratov 1-3 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
56%
Away Win
56%
+0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 60%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.51/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.72
-44% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sokol Saratov
0W-1D-4L
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2025 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-0 HT 1-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
13.04.2025 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-2 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
09.09.2024 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-0 HT 1-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
07.04.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
16.07.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 4-0 HT 2-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sokol Saratov
1-3
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sokol Saratov vs FK Rodina Moskva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Rodina Moskva saw off Sokol Saratov 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Rodina Moskva as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sokol Saratov had 54% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 46%, shots finished 12-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Sokol Saratov and 2.20 for FK Rodina Moskva.

What was the final score of Sokol Saratov vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Sokol Saratov 1-3 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sokol Saratov vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sokol Saratov 20%, draw 24%, FK Rodina Moskva 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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