SKA Khabarovsk 1-1 Volga Ulyanovsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
25%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+9.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Volga Ulyanovsk EU Bookmakers 36%
+11% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.37/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.39
+12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKA Khabarovsk
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Volga Ulyanovsk
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
17.08.2025 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk 1-0 HT 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
22.04.2023 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 1-1 HT 0-1 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk RUS1
01.10.2022 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk 0-0 HT 0-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SKA Khabarovsk
1-1
AWAY Volga Ulyanovsk
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SKA Khabarovsk vs Volga Ulyanovsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKA Khabarovsk and Volga Ulyanovsk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Volga Ulyanovsk at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, SKA Khabarovsk had 53% of the ball to Volga Ulyanovsk's 47%, shots finished 17-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Volga Ulyanovsk led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for SKA Khabarovsk and 0.67 for Volga Ulyanovsk.

What was the final score of SKA Khabarovsk vs Volga Ulyanovsk?

SKA Khabarovsk 1-1 Volga Ulyanovsk in the Russia - FNL on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKA Khabarovsk vs Volga Ulyanovsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Volga Ulyanovsk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SKA Khabarovsk 34%, draw 25%, Volga Ulyanovsk 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Volga Ulyanovsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Volga Ulyanovsk) ✓ BTTS Yes
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