Olympiakos 0-1 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
18%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.68
Over
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.0
No
57%
1.72
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.6
2-3
38%
1.7
4-5
16%
3.99
6+
9%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.6 — our 37% vs market 30.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.35
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
10%
14.3
X/1
24%
4.14
X/2
7%
8.85
X/X
16%
4.33
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
7%
7.53
2/X
5%
15.9
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina The Market 24%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.45/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.34
+6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
21.6 Crosses 14.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
4W-1D-1L
AWAY AEK Atina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.25 xG 0.76
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
246 Passes 248
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2026 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
26.10.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 2-0 HT 1-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
27.04.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 0-2 HT 0-1 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
13.04.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-0 HT 0-0 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
02.04.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 2-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
02.03.2025 AEK Atina AEK Atina 0-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
0-1
AWAY AEK Atina
0.22 xG 0.32
62% Ball Possession 38%
5 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
367 Passes 189
75% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 10
34 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Olympiakos vs AEK Atina
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

AEK Atina nicked a narrow win over Olympiakos 1-0 on the road.

We leaned Olympiakos at 51% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) landed.

On the day, possession split 62% to 38% in Olympiakos's favour, shots finished 5-7, expected goals 0.22 to 0.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Olympiakos against 0.50 for AEK Atina.

Olympiakos vs AEK Atina Result & Final Score

Olympiakos 0-1 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Olympiakos vs AEK Atina Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 51%, draw 31%, AEK Atina 18%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Olympiakos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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