Nacional Asuncion 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 5 May 2025

📅05/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +10%
1.09/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.04
-11% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
Crosses 28.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
07.10.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
04.08.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
06.04.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
20.01.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
29.10.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-1 HT 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
0-1
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
66% Ball Possession 34%
25 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano edged past Nacional Asuncion 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Nacional Asuncion at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 66% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 34%, shots finished 25-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 1.00 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Nacional Asuncion 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 42%, draw 27%, Sportivo Ameliano 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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