Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Nacional Asuncion v Sportivo Ameliano — Team-Based Signals
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Nacional Asuncion 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano — Actual Match Statistics
Sportivo Ameliano edged past Nacional Asuncion 1-0 on the road.
Our pre-match lean was Nacional Asuncion at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 46% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.66, roughly 60%.
On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 66% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 34%, shots finished 25-7.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 1.00 for Sportivo Ameliano.
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano Result & Final Score
Nacional Asuncion 0 - 1 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 05/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 41%, draw 32%, Sportivo Ameliano 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) went the other way.