Al Riffa 4-0 Al Shabab Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 5 May 2026

📅05/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
8%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 29% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
14%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-0.7pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.4pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 17%
-14% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
1.68/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.23
-14% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +63%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riffa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.12.2025 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
17.05.2025 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
18.01.2025 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
08.04.2024 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 4-2 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
21.12.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
19.02.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riffa
4-0
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Riffa vs Al Shabab Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa swept aside Al Shabab Manama 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Riffa as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Riffa had 56% of the ball to Al Shabab Manama's 44%, shots finished 19-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Manama led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Riffa and 2.00 for Al Shabab Manama.

What was the final score of Al Riffa vs Al Shabab Manama?

Al Riffa 4-0 Al Shabab Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 05/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riffa vs Al Shabab Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Al Riffa 65%, draw 19%, Al Shabab Manama 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Riffa), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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