Sitra 0-2 Al Ahli Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 5 May 2026

📅05/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.36 — our 24% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.4pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.37/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.07
-4% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sitra
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.12.2025 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-2 HT 0-2 Sitra Sitra BAH
22.04.2025 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 2-3 HT 0-2 Sitra Sitra BAH
27.02.2025 Sitra Sitra 2-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAHKK
21.10.2024 Sitra Sitra 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
04.03.2024 Sitra Sitra 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
29.09.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 3-1 HT 1-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sitra
0-2
AWAY Al Ahli Manama
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sitra vs Al Ahli Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Manama got the better of Sitra 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Al Ahli Manama found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sitra had 56% of the ball to Al Ahli Manama's 44%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sitra had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sitra and 1.33 for Al Ahli Manama.

What was the final score of Sitra vs Al Ahli Manama?

Sitra 0-2 Al Ahli Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 05/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs Al Ahli Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sitra win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sitra 39%, draw 31%, Al Ahli Manama 30%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sitra) ✗ BTTS Yes
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