Smouha 0-1 Zamalek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 5 May 2026

📅05/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
52%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.92
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
52%
Away Win
54%
-2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.4pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamalek EU Bookmakers 58%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
0.91/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.97
-10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
250 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
14.8 Crosses 19.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Zamalek
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.84 xG 1.20
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
254 Passes 424
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2026 Zamalek Zamalek 1-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
25.12.2025 Zamalek Zamalek 0-1 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSRLK
15.03.2025 Zamalek Zamalek 4-2 HT 1-2 Smouha Smouha MSRK
08.11.2024 Smouha Smouha 0-2 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
05.05.2024 Smouha Smouha 1-0 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
21.10.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 5-1 HT 3-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
0-1
AWAY Zamalek
0.55 xG 0.45
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
252 Passes 347
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Smouha vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek edged past Smouha 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Smouha had 45% of the ball to Zamalek's 55%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.55 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Smouha and 2.00 for Zamalek.

What was the final score of Smouha vs Zamalek?

Smouha 0-1 Zamalek in the Egypt - Premier League on 05/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs Zamalek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Smouha 20%, draw 27%, Zamalek 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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