Irak 0-2 Güney Kore — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Jun 2025

📅05/06/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.45
6+ Goals
7%
24.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.45 — our 35% vs market 33.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irak EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.07/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/0.40
-3% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / +50%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
14.2 Crosses 24.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irak
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Güney Kore
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.26 xG 1.31
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
231 Passes 493
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.10.2024 Güney Kore Güney Kore 3-2 Irak Irak DKE
06.01.2024 Irak Irak 0-1 HT 0-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore HAZ
16.11.2021 Irak Irak 0-3 HT 0-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore DKE
02.09.2021 Güney Kore Güney Kore 0-0 HT 0-0 Irak Irak DKE
26.01.2015 Güney Kore Güney Kore 2-0 HT 1-0 Irak Irak ASK
25.07.2007 Irak Irak 0-0 HT 0-0 Güney Kore Güney Kore ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Irak
0-2
AWAY Güney Kore
0.28 xG 2.08
24% Ball Possession 76%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 10
143 Passes 612
64% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 31
4 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Irak vs Güney Kore
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Kore beat Irak 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Güney Kore found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Irak had 24% of the ball to Güney Kore's 76%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.28 to 2.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Güney Kore led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Irak and 1.50 for Güney Kore.

What was the final score of Irak vs Güney Kore?

Irak 0-2 Güney Kore in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irak vs Güney Kore?

Before kick-off our model rated an Güney Kore win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Irak 34%, draw 28%, Güney Kore 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güney Kore), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Güney Kore) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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