Katar vs İran Prediction — Model Probabilities
Katar v İran — Team-Based Signals
Katar vs İran Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Katar 1-0 İran — Actual Match Statistics
Katar shaded a tight game against İran 1-0.
Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Katar found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (55%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 52% to 48% in Katar's favour, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 0.50 to 0.31.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İran led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Katar against 2.33 for İran.
Katar vs İran Result & Final Score
Katar 1 - 0 İran in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Katar vs İran Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an İran win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Katar 34%, draw 30%, İran 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (İran), BTTS Yes went the other way.