Katar 1-0 İran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Jun 2025

Katar
1-0 HT 1-0
İran
📅05/06/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Katar vs İran Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.91
6+ Goals
11%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 32% vs market 29.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Katar v İran — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katar EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY İran EU Bookmakers 39%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.44/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.37
+126% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -88% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
10.0 Crosses 19.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1

Katar vs İran Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katar
1W-0D-5L
AWAY İran
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.83 xG 2.39
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
309 Passes 290
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.10.2024 İran İran 4-1 Katar Katar DKE
07.02.2024 İran İran 2-3 HT 1-2 Katar Katar ASK
17.10.2023 Katar Katar 0-4 HT 0-0 İran İran HAZ
23.03.2017 Katar Katar 0-1 HT 0-0 İran İran DKE
01.09.2016 İran İran 2-0 HT 0-0 Katar Katar DKE
15.01.2015 Katar Katar 0-1 HT 0-0 İran İran ASK

Katar 1-0 İran — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katar
1-0
AWAY İran
0.50 xG 0.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
452 Passes 410
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Katar vs İran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katar squeezed past İran 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Katar found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Katar had 52% of the ball to İran's 48%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 0.50 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İran led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Katar and 2.33 for İran.

What was the final score of Katar vs İran?

Katar 1-0 İran in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katar vs İran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katar win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Katar 38%, draw 31%, İran 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katar), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katar) ✓ Under 2.5
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