Milsami 1-2 FC Sheriff — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
49%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 56%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.09/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.43
+127% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +90%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FC Sheriff
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Milsami Milsami 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
18.05.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
13.04.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-2 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
02.11.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-4 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
31.08.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 0-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
04.05.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-1 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
1-2
AWAY FC Sheriff
30% Ball Possession 70%
3 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Milsami vs FC Sheriff
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff edged past Milsami 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Milsami had 30% of the ball to FC Sheriff's 70%, shots finished 3-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Milsami and 1.83 for FC Sheriff.

What was the final score of Milsami vs FC Sheriff?

Milsami 1-2 FC Sheriff in the Moldova - National League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs FC Sheriff?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Milsami 27%, draw 25%, FC Sheriff 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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5 Jul 2025
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