Grobina 3-1 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -24%
2.43/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.53
+12% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
21.5 Crosses 22.2
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.95 xG 1.26
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
260 Passes 283
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.05.2026 Grobina Grobina 3-3 HT 2-2 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
05.04.2026 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-1 HT 1-1 Grobina Grobina LET
04.10.2025 Grobina Grobina 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
21.07.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-1 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
21.05.2025 Grobina Grobina 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
05.04.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-0 HT 2-0 Grobina Grobina LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
3-1
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
2.24 xG 0.73
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
282 Passes 370
25 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Grobina vs FK Tukums 2000
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Grobina beat FK Tukums 2000 3-1 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 5 Jul 2026. Half-time: 2-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.24 to 0.73.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Grobina and 1.33 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Grobina vs FK Tukums 2000?

Grobina 3-1 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Grobina 45%, draw 28%, FK Tukums 2000 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grobina), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Grobina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →