Grobina 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 34%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.35/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.39
+4% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
16.7 Crosses 21.0
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.93 xG 1.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
323 Passes 290
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-0 HT 2-0 Grobina Grobina LET
28.09.2024 Grobina Grobina 1-2 HT 1-2 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
08.07.2024 Grobina Grobina 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
16.05.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-2 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
04.04.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
09.10.2021 Grobina Grobina 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
2-0
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
4.91 xG 0.28
45% Ball Possession 55%
32 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
228 Passes 327
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
46 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Grobina vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grobina got the better of FK Tukums 2000 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Grobina as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grobina had 45% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 55%, shots finished 32-6, expected goals 4.91 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Tukums 2000 led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Grobina and 1.83 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of Grobina vs FK Tukums 2000?

Grobina 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grobina 42%, draw 25%, FK Tukums 2000 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grobina) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Grobina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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