FK Tukums 2000 2-1 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 21 Jul 2025

📅21/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.66/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.77
-18% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
18.2 Crosses 17.5
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Grobina
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
296 Passes 307
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.05.2025 Grobina Grobina 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
05.04.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-0 HT 2-0 Grobina Grobina LET
28.09.2024 Grobina Grobina 1-2 HT 1-2 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
08.07.2024 Grobina Grobina 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
16.05.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-2 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
04.04.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2-1
AWAY Grobina
1.25 xG 1.49
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
270 Passes 257
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 26
5 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ FK Tukums 2000 vs Grobina
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FK Tukums 2000 edged past Grobina 2-1 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21 Jul 2025. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 51% of the ball to Grobina's 49%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.25 to 1.49.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.17 for Grobina.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Grobina?

FK Tukums 2000 2-1 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Tukums 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 40%, draw 23%, Grobina 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Tukums 2000), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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