FK Tukums 2000 1-1 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.43/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.42
-10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
19.1 Crosses 20.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Grobina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.19 xG 1.69
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 Passes 271
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
04.10.2025 Grobina Grobina 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
21.07.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-1 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
21.05.2025 Grobina Grobina 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
05.04.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-0 HT 2-0 Grobina Grobina LET
28.09.2024 Grobina Grobina 1-2 HT 1-2 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
08.07.2024 Grobina Grobina 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1-1
AWAY Grobina
1.23 xG 2.03
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
238 Passes 345
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 and Grobina shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 43% of the ball to Grobina's 57%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.23 to 2.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.17 for Grobina.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Grobina?

FK Tukums 2000 1-1 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 36%, draw 25%, Grobina 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grobina), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grobina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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