Orlando City 1-1 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
6.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.5pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 21%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+86% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
372 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
1-1
AWAY Atletico San Luis
0.51 xG 1.66
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
340 Passes 426
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City and Atletico San Luis shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Orlando City at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Orlando City had 45% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 55%, shots finished 9-23, expected goals 0.51 to 1.66.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs Atletico San Luis?

Orlando City 1-1 Atletico San Luis in the Concacaf League Cup on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 52%, draw 24%, Atletico San Luis 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orlando City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orlando City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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