Seattle Sounders 1-3 Necaxa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 5 Aug 2024

📅05/08/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Necaxa EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -54%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 19.5
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seattle Sounders
1-3
AWAY Necaxa
0.56 xG 0.60
71% Ball Possession 29%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
558 Passes 194
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Seattle Sounders vs Necaxa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Necaxa got the better of Seattle Sounders 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Seattle Sounders at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Seattle Sounders had 71% of the ball to Necaxa's 29%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.56 to 0.60.

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs Necaxa?

Seattle Sounders 1-3 Necaxa in the Concacaf League Cup on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs Necaxa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 45%, draw 26%, Necaxa 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Seattle Sounders) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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