Pachuca 1-2 Toronto FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 5 Aug 2024

Pachuca
1-2 HT 0-1
Toronto FC
📅05/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Concacaf League Cup – 2024

Pachuca vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 27% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pachuca v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Pachuca 1-2 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
1-2
AWAY Toronto FC
0.98 xG 1.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
313 Passes 395
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs Toronto FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toronto FC nicked a narrow win over Pachuca 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Toronto FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pachuca had 46% of the ball to Toronto FC's 54%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.98 to 1.11.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Toronto FC?

Pachuca 1-2 Toronto FC in the Concacaf League Cup on 05/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Toronto FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Toronto FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 34%, draw 25%, Toronto FC 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toronto FC), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Toronto FC) ✓ Over 2.5
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